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How Dangerous Is a Paranoid Schizophrenic?

How Dangerous Is a Paranoid Schizophrenic?

Are you really at risk of attack by someone with schizophrenia?


A violent attack by someone who is mentally ill quickly grabs the headlines. And it’s usually implied that mental illnesses are a preventable cause of violent crime. Tackle that and we can all sleep safer in our beds. But by pressuring mental health services to focus on the risk of violence we are in danger of actually increasing it.

Most of the debate around risk and offending has centred around schizophrenia – the bread and butter of community psychiatry. But what is the evidence relating to the risk of violence in those diagnosed with schizophrenia? It’s tricky because schizophrenia varies so much in character and severity. And other factors known to have an association with violent crime, like migration and social disadvantage, are often also implicated as a part of the cause or consequence of schizophrenia.

To assess the risk of someone with schizophrenia attacking others, we’re basically trying to work out the risk of a rare event happening in a bunch of people with a mixed bag of symptoms with the “schizophrenia” label – and with multiple other factors confounding and perpetuating the issue. No wonder it’s nigh on impossible to work out the risk from just the schizophrenia.

Other factors in play

Researchers put different emphasis on the importance of these other factors. This might explain the wide variation in the figures for how much more likely violence is in someone with schizophrenia. The largest study to date, conducted in Sweden, compared more than 8000 people with schizophrenia with control groups using hospital and criminal records. They found that much of the increased rate of violence in those with schizophrenia was confined to those who also abused drugs.

Controlling for other factors, those with a diagnosis of schizophrenia who did not abuse drugs were only 1.2 times more likely to have committed at least one violent offence than control subjects. But even for those with a diagnosis of schizophrenia who did abuse drugs, the comparison lessened when the researchers considered early environment and genetics – they were only 1.8 times more likely to have committed at least one violent crime than their siblings (who didn’t have schizophrenia).

But a recent Australian study showed that people with schizophrenia – even without substance abuse – were twice as likely as control subjects to have a violent conviction.
 Most researchers recognise that there is an increase in violent offending in those diagnosed with schizophrenia. But the studies don’t tell us how much violent offending is actually caused by the mental disorder itself.

And we tend to forget about how uncommon it is to have these kinds of incidents (though shouty headlines can make us think otherwise). Even if it could be proved that the disorder actually caused an increased rate of violence, completely taking all of those with major mental disorders out of society would only reduce violent crime by about 5%) – less than for drugs and alcohol.

Is our obsession with risk making it worse?

So what worries me is the interpretation and outcomes of these findings and their adoption into policy, legislation and clinical practice.

The real danger here is that the focus is on risk, and decisions based only on that risk at the expense of the illness itself, could even increase that risk. The main problem is that we’re not actually very good at predicting violent events. This isn’t because mental health professionals are rubbish but mainly because they’re so rare in the populations we’re looking at.

A concept that just doesn’t seem to be that well understood, even among doctors, is that the predictive ability of any risk assessment depends on the rate of the event in the population we’re looking at. The lower the rate, the less able the assessment is to correctly predict it. If something happened frequently, it would be easier to predict.

Although the rate of violence may be slightly higher in those with schizophrenia than Jo Public the absolute rate of violence in those who suffer from schizophrenia is still very low – too low to predict with any accuracy.

Our worst fear?

Let’s look at the worst case scenario – murder.

If we use the MacArthur instrument – one of the well evaluated tools for measuring the risk of violence – to classify people as a high or low-risk of committing murder then, as Australian psychiatrist Christopher Ryan put it: “4117 patients would have to be detained or otherwise managed for a year in a homicide-proof fashion to try to prevent just one of those patients committing a homicide. And yet one in every 22,421 patients assessed to be ‘low-risk’ would commit a homicide in that period.”

Most people who suffer from schizophrenia would correctly be classified as low risk. Because of this, they would have resources diverted away from them despite suffering from a debilitating but treatable condition. And a very few of those classified as low risk would actually go on to commit a violent offence.

We currently have different legislation for those with mental health problems. It is hard to imagine any other group of people being subject to different laws based on a higher statistical rate of violence. Men are more likely to be violent than women but aren’t subject to legislation that allows us to more easily detain them against their will.

Not that we should just shrug our shoulders and say that risk just isn’t our thing. A comprehensive assessment that includes a risk component should allow people to make informed decisions about their treatment, based on their capacity to do so ([which, incidentally, is something we are good at assessing]). Decisions should rely on the characteristics of the illness and evidence for treatment, not just the enforcement of short-term and inadequate interventions as a nod to risk at the expense of treating the illness itself.

We know there is a higher rate of violence in those who’ve developed schizophrenia before they even seek help from services. I’m pretty sure that if I was suffering from schizophrenia I would be more likely to go to services that offered help for my illness rather than those seen as punitive and risk-obsessed. Sadly, the over-emphasis on risk of violence is a grave disservice to many suffering from a debilitating but treatable illness.

Fazel, S. (2009). Schizophrenia, Substance Abuse, and Violent Crime JAMA: The Journal of the American Medical Association, 301 (19) DOI: 10.1001/jama.2009.675

Short, T., Thomas, S., Mullen, P., & Ogloff, J. (2013). Comparing violence in schizophrenia patients with and without comorbid substance-use disorders to community controls Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica DOI: 10.1111/acps.12066

This article was originally published at  The Conversation, by Rebecca Syed

schizophrenia violence,schizophrenia and violence, mental illness schizophrenia symptoms, is schizophrenia dangerous

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  • nicole mullins
    July 30, 2013, 17:34

    This blog post relates to the critical thinking box in ch.13 that asks are people with schizophrenia really more dangerous than normal people. In that experiment they found that the violence does not come from the mental disorder but from substance abuse.With that being said they were able to prove that people with schizophrenia are not anymore dangerous than a normal person but also that if both parties were under the influence of a substance they would be equally violent. In this post they stated that someone with schizophrenia who abused a substance would be twice as likely to have a violent conviction. I think that people with the disorder are not dangerous just because they have the disorder, the disorder has multiple positive and negative symptoms. If someone has alogia, i don’t see how that could lead to a violence but if they had the labile affect and mixed that with a substance, I could see how that could alter their perception and behavior in a negative and violent way.

  • Dreamwolf
    January 29, 2016, 13:30

    As a sufferer of Schizophrenia I know what can happen when people ‘generalize’ the disorder. When I was first diagnosed they put me on meds that made me gain 100lbs in just 5 months. so I stopped taking the meds. The docs found out I as not taking them (I was working with a different doc to get a med that wouldn’t make me gain huge amounts of weight) they called the police and reported me as an unmedicated ‘violent’ schizophrenic, despite the fact I had no history of violence. I was attacked at my place of work and sedated with a drug that I am highly allergic to (I almost died from the sedative). I was forced to take 15 different medications, I was so heavily medicated I was in a zombified state. I was put in diapers and only changed once a day, when they would wheel me to the shower room, hose me off with cold water, put me in a fresh diaper without drying me off, and then put to bed. I also ended up weighing over 300lbs because of the meds, and went through male menopause at 22 because of a hormone treatment that was supposed to make me less violent.
    My mother finally got a court order releasing me, but by then it was too late. I am medicated now, but for a long time I couldn’t trust anyone enough to get into a program. I understand that some people with mental illness can be dangerous, especially unmedicated people, but I don’t think the plan that many politicians want to go through with is fair or constitutional. What I went through should not happen to anyone.

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